арифметика надежды

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М.К. 

Дай мне шанс пожалуйста
ты математик... тогда давай говорим цифры.
После путешествия 8552 километров
у меня 95 процентов шанс ты ответишь "нет"
итак всего 5 процентов шанс ты ответишь "да"

да =         0,5                  или нет = 95 х 8552 ?
               8552
    
но, есть ещё... 5 минут когда ты будешь подумать или 5 секунд?
может быть будет одну секунду когда:
   
          1  = + ю ?

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